Good spot for the Roos here. They have not covered in six of their last seven.
The Magpies are 22-11 against the spread interstate and were arguably the most impressive team of Round 3. The Bombers have covered five of their last seven as an underdog and cover at 62% when an outsider of more than two goals, a clear indication the market usually gets them wrong.
West Coast have an outstanding record in Perth when heavily favoured. Sydney has lost four of their last five and are entrenched in the bottom four. Getting more than four goals the Roos cover at 61%. The Cats are 8-4 against the spread this season and come off three straight wins of 33-plus. Port have covered just six of 18 off a win of three of more goals. 2020 AFL Round 15 – Tips, Predictions & Odds. Check out the Betfair Hub and the Betfair Exchange for up to the minute AFL odds. The Saints have covered eight of 12 as an underdog.
The Dockers come off pushing Richmond while the Dees were humiliated by the Swans.
Carlton can be bet with confidence again.
Melbourne cover at just 44% when favoured. They are winless and are historically poor defensively. Richmond have covered four straight against Hawthorn and look to be in a good spot to make it five. Carlton is always a play in Victoria as a big underdog. Carlton are in a great spot as an underdog in Melbourne against the Demons. St Kilda are awful favourites, covering at just 42% and making the nut in just 1 of their last 8 when favoured in betting.
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Geelong are typically very hard to beat when playing at the Cattery and that advantage is sure to be heightened in this muddled-up season with a short preparation.
Geelong have covered 9 of their last 12 when favoured by fewer than two goals. Fremantle have covered eight of 11 against Melbourne and matchup well.
They’ll be posting their AFL Tips each week for the entire 2020 AFL Season. Essendon are highly reliable plays as an underdog. Port have covered just one of their last six when favoured by more than five goals. Geelong are always a play as an underdog. The Blues were typically their gritty best late on in a one-point loss to Melbourne last week. St Kilda have covered just six of their last 17 when favoured so the Demons look the play in this one. Get the free app for iphone › Get the free app for android › take me to the full website Geelong have also won their last four by 28-plus points and have covered four of their last six against the Bulldogs. North cover at a clip of 60% when an outsider of more than a goal. Fremantle have looked vastly improved and that has culminated in back-to-back wins.
Melbourne cover at just 42% as a favourite and gave covered just three of their last 10 in the spot. The Eagles beat the Blues by 24 when they last met. The Analysts have years of AFL betting experience to go along with their own database. The Dogs cover at just 41% when favoured. They have not lobbed within 20 points in their last four.
Happy to stick with the reliable Swans here. He’ll likely rely on Geelong coming out winners on the day, but at $26, he presents great value. Call Gambling Help 1800 858 858 www.gamblinghelponline.org.au. Richmond have covered just nine of 19 at the MCG. They cover at 60% when getting more than a goal and 62% when an underdog of more than a goal in Victoria. West Coast is 33-19 against the spread when favoured by three or more goals in WA. The Blues cover at a stunning 61% in Victoria when an underdog. The Demons have covered just five of their last 18 in Victoria and went a poor 1-6 against the spread in 2019 when favoured by the market. The Cats are in a good spot here. If you’re looking to improve your AFL betting, we recommend checking out the following resources as well: For your complete guide to the 2020 AFL Brownlow, check out Betfair's Predictor.
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Betting, of course, does not reflect this but taking odds against and/or any plus is absolutely a play in this semi against the Cats.
They will be looking to put that disappointing loss behind them in a very winnable affair against the Swans. Off a loss of more than three goals, that position bumps to 65%. Collingwood have covered two of their last three against Richmond and in a cracking matchup to restart the season can win a close affair against the defending premiers. The Magpies cover at just 43% when favoured and just 38% when favoured by more than two goals. The Bulldogs have lost their last three but they were against the top two teams and the defending premiers.
The Tigers have won eight of nine with seven of those by double digits.
West Coast have a tremendous record against Collingwood with seven covers in the last 10 meetings, they are a standout play.
The Blues are the bet … again. GWS has covered just three of nine as a double-digit favourite. The Crows have just a single cover all season and are a bet against team the entire way through. This is going to get messy. Very keen on the Eagles now they are back playing in Perth.
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The Eagles are 28-15 against the line when favoured by five goals. Carlton getting a big plus is always welcome as it is typically tremendous value. Essendon have an excellent record against Port Adelaide with seven covers in their last nine meetings. I’m expecting the Tigers to have a plan in place to slow down Patrick Dangerfield, whilst Guthrie should be able to get his usual ball out wide and through the midfield. They have covered 60% getting a start of 6.5 or more since 2011.
Fremantle cover at 57% when favoured. They have covered at 61% when an underdog of more than three goals. Carlton has covered the three meetings against the Tigers over the last two seasons and is a prime bet to cover the big number again with a win off the stick unsurprising over the defending premiers.
Geelong have covered 10 of their last 14 at their home ground and cover at 60% at the ground when favoured by fewer than three goals. The lowly Crows are just a pure bet against team this year. Off a loss of more than four goals as a double-digit underdog, the Blues cover rate jumps to a highly impressive 66%.
They have now won three on the trot with all three wins coming by more than five goals.
All-time, though, the Power are just 51-32 with a -16% POT but that has turned around in 2020. The Hawks have failed to cover their last five as an underdog. The Official Footy Tipping Competition of the AFL. The Blues cover at 58% as an underdog and at 61% as an underdog in Melbourne.
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